Average annual temperatures in the United Kingdom are projected to rise under the different Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP), based on the historic baseline 9.2 degrees Celsius (°C). Under the RCP 4.5 intermediate emission scenario, it is expected that temperatures will rise to 10 °C in the next decades and to 10.4 °C by mid-century. Temperatures will continue to rise to reach 10.6 °C by 2099, following the same scenario.
Average annual temperature projections in the United Kingdom in time frames from 2020 to 2099, by emission scenario
(in degrees Celsius)
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Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP):
RCP 4.5: intermediate GHG emissions. CO₂ emissions peak around 2040 and start declining by 2045, reaching half of 2050 levels by 2100. Likely to result in a global temperature rise of 2-3 °C by 2100.
RCP 8.5: very high GHG emissions. CO₂ emissions continue to rise until 2100. Taken as the basis of worst-case climate change scenario.
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UNDP. (June 18, 2024). Average annual temperature projections in the United Kingdom in time frames from 2020 to 2099, by emission scenario (in degrees Celsius) [Graph]. In Statista. Retrieved November 13, 2024, from https://www-statista-com.ezproxy.canberra.edu.au/statistics/1473876/temperature-projections-in-the-uk-by-emission-scenario/
UNDP. "Average annual temperature projections in the United Kingdom in time frames from 2020 to 2099, by emission scenario (in degrees Celsius)." Chart. June 18, 2024. Statista. Accessed November 13, 2024. https://www-statista-com.ezproxy.canberra.edu.au/statistics/1473876/temperature-projections-in-the-uk-by-emission-scenario/
UNDP. (2024). Average annual temperature projections in the United Kingdom in time frames from 2020 to 2099, by emission scenario (in degrees Celsius). Statista. Statista Inc.. Accessed: November 13, 2024. https://www-statista-com.ezproxy.canberra.edu.au/statistics/1473876/temperature-projections-in-the-uk-by-emission-scenario/
UNDP. "Average Annual Temperature Projections in The United Kingdom in Time Frames from 2020 to 2099, by Emission Scenario (in Degrees Celsius)." Statista, Statista Inc., 18 Jun 2024, https://www-statista-com.ezproxy.canberra.edu.au/statistics/1473876/temperature-projections-in-the-uk-by-emission-scenario/
UNDP, Average annual temperature projections in the United Kingdom in time frames from 2020 to 2099, by emission scenario (in degrees Celsius) Statista, https://www-statista-com.ezproxy.canberra.edu.au/statistics/1473876/temperature-projections-in-the-uk-by-emission-scenario/ (last visited November 13, 2024)
Average annual temperature projections in the United Kingdom in time frames from 2020 to 2099, by emission scenario (in degrees Celsius) [Graph], UNDP, June 18, 2024. [Online]. Available: https://www-statista-com.ezproxy.canberra.edu.au/statistics/1473876/temperature-projections-in-the-uk-by-emission-scenario/
