Considering a moderate emissions scenario, most of Africa's countries will likely have their entire population exposed to heat waves by 2050. According to the source estimates, exposure to heat waves will be lower in South Africa (45 percent) and Morocco (15 percent).
Estimated population exposure to heat waves in Africa in 2050, by country
According to the source, estimates considering a moderate emissions scenario (RCP4.5) "consistent with a future of relatively ambitious emissions reductions with a slight rise to 2040 and then a decline. This scenario falls short of the Paris Agreement aim of limiting global temperature rise to “well below” 2°C, with a projected average temperature increase of 1.8°C (likely range 1.1°C to 2.6°C)".
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S&P Global Ratings. (April 27, 2022). Estimated population exposure to heat waves in Africa in 2050, by country [Graph]. In Statista. Retrieved September 20, 2024, from https://www-statista-com.ezproxy.canberra.edu.au/statistics/1310855/population-exposure-to-heat-waves-in-africa-by-country/
S&P Global Ratings. "Estimated population exposure to heat waves in Africa in 2050, by country." Chart. April 27, 2022. Statista. Accessed September 20, 2024. https://www-statista-com.ezproxy.canberra.edu.au/statistics/1310855/population-exposure-to-heat-waves-in-africa-by-country/
S&P Global Ratings. (2022). Estimated population exposure to heat waves in Africa in 2050, by country. Statista. Statista Inc.. Accessed: September 20, 2024. https://www-statista-com.ezproxy.canberra.edu.au/statistics/1310855/population-exposure-to-heat-waves-in-africa-by-country/
S&P Global Ratings. "Estimated Population Exposure to Heat Waves in Africa in 2050, by Country." Statista, Statista Inc., 27 Apr 2022, https://www-statista-com.ezproxy.canberra.edu.au/statistics/1310855/population-exposure-to-heat-waves-in-africa-by-country/
S&P Global Ratings, Estimated population exposure to heat waves in Africa in 2050, by country Statista, https://www-statista-com.ezproxy.canberra.edu.au/statistics/1310855/population-exposure-to-heat-waves-in-africa-by-country/ (last visited September 20, 2024)
Estimated population exposure to heat waves in Africa in 2050, by country [Graph], S&P Global Ratings, April 27, 2022. [Online]. Available: https://www-statista-com.ezproxy.canberra.edu.au/statistics/1310855/population-exposure-to-heat-waves-in-africa-by-country/
